In 50 of 55 districts, off-plan cost more.
Taking every Dubai district where the Land Department registered at least 20 sales of completed homes and 20 off-plan sales in 2026, off-plan sold at a higher median price per square foot in 50 of 55. The median gap was 32%. 5 districts ran the other way, and they are named below rather than left out.
The same measurement, five years running
Median gap between off-plan and completed, across all qualifying districts.
- 2022 41 districts
- +24%
- 2023 52 districts
- +35%
- 2024 55 districts
- +26%
- 2025 60 districts
- +30%
- 2026 (to date) 55 districts
- +32%
One year would be an anecdote. Five years of the same figure is how the market prices new stock.
A higher price per foot is not proof of a worse deal.
- This is not like-for-like. Off-plan stock is newer, more often branded or serviced, and frequently on the better plots left in a district. Part of the gap is a different product, not a worse price.
- You are not buying the same thing. Off-plan is bought on a payment plan against a building that does not exist yet. That carries a cost and a risk that a completed home does not, and it carries an option a completed home does not either.
- Medians, not matched pairs. We are comparing the middle of one set of sales with the middle of another, in the same district and year. We are not comparing the same apartment in two states, because nobody can.
- What it does settle is the specific claim that off-plan gets you the same thing for less. On the register, in most of Dubai, it does not.
District by district, 2026 to date.
Median AED per square foot on registered sales. Sorted by the gap, widest first. Districts with fewer than 20 sales on either side are left out โ a median built on six sales is noise, and this table will be quoted.
| District | Completed | Off-plan | Gap | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Mer | 3,002 | 7,539 | +151% | 87 / 56 |
| Sufouh Gardens | 1,647 | 4,063 | +147% | 38 / 643 |
| Meydan Racecourse Community | 1,608 | 3,573 | +122% | 136 / 1,698 |
| Palm Jumeirah | 2,778 | 5,872 | +111% | 520 / 255 |
| Motor City | 1,045 | 1,840 | +76% | 435 / 1,808 |
| Dubai Land Residence Complex | 841 | 1,462 | +74% | 416 / 4,319 |
| Discovery Gardens | 970 | 1,671 | +72% | 749 / 116 |
| Majan | 891 | 1,514 | +70% | 654 / 3,374 |
| International City Phase 1 | 679 | 1,152 | +70% | 913 / 335 |
| Al Barari | 1,738 | 2,943 | +69% | 146 / 123 |
| Silicon Oasis | 972 | 1,588 | +63% | 804 / 435 |
| Site A | 2,232 | 3,467 | +55% | 80 / 66 |
| Jumeirah Lakes Towers (JLT) | 1,532 | 2,350 | +53% | 1,035 / 483 |
| City Of Arabia | 1,131 | 1,705 | +51% | 24 / 2,399 |
| Business Bay | 1,985 | 2,935 | +48% | 2,105 / 1,905 |
| Living Legends | 955 | 1,392 | +46% | 92 / 288 |
| Dubai Sports City | 993 | 1,437 | +45% | 753 / 1,211 |
| Liwan1 | 980 | 1,389 | +42% | 336 / 254 |
| International City Phase 3 | 887 | 1,238 | +40% | 303 / 765 |
| International Media Production Zone | 1,008 | 1,400 | +39% | 528 / 1,716 |
| Dubai Harbour | 3,348 | 4,613 | +38% | 196 / 320 |
| Dubai Marina | 2,045 | 2,782 | +36% | 1,400 / 99 |
| DAMAC HILLS | 1,334 | 1,810 | +36% | 410 / 532 |
| Jumeirah Garden City | 1,711 | 2,302 | +35% | 72 / 1,098 |
| Dubai Investment Park First | 883 | 1,171 | +33% | 136 / 1,631 |
| Dubai World Central | 1,294 | 1,704 | +32% | 166 / 9,757 |
| Downtown Dubai | 2,621 | 3,464 | +32% | 1,152 / 370 |
| The Greens | 1,838 | 2,428 | +32% | 289 / 23 |
| Dubai South Residential District | 1,116 | 1,457 | +31% | 603 / 1,889 |
| Dubai Science Park | 1,367 | 1,789 | +31% | 123 / 925 |
| Arjan | 1,355 | 1,716 | +27% | 924 / 1,576 |
| Town Square | 1,355 | 1,710 | +26% | 653 / 697 |
| Down Town Jabal Ali | 1,365 | 1,715 | +26% | 87 / 2,833 |
| City Walk | 2,674 | 3,354 | +25% | 192 / 417 |
| Jumeirah Village Triangle | 1,384 | 1,704 | +23% | 445 / 1,730 |
| Jumeirah Village Circle | 1,302 | 1,573 | +21% | 3,119 / 4,308 |
| DAMAC HILLS 2 | 1,083 | 1,291 | +19% | 90 / 44 |
| Mohammed Bin Rashid AL Maktoum District 11 | 1,613 | 1,920 | +19% | 100 / 325 |
| Wasl 1 | 1,947 | 2,250 | +16% | 70 / 125 |
| Meydan One Community | 2,002 | 2,310 | +15% | 632 / 333 |
| Al Furjan | 1,316 | 1,507 | +15% | 746 / 904 |
| Dubai Studio City | 1,393 | 1,598 | +15% | 251 / 850 |
| Dubai Health Care City Phase 2 | 1,786 | 2,041 | +14% | 296 / 311 |
| Dubai Creek Harbour | 2,336 | 2,622 | +12% | 840 / 1,963 |
| Jumeirah Islands | 2,233 | 2,510 | +12% | 53 / 830 |
| WARSAN FIRST DEVELOPMENT | 1,218 | 1,366 | +12% | 41 / 299 |
| Dubai Hills Estate | 2,303 | 2,421 | +5% | 616 / 864 |
| Dubai Water Canal | 3,068 | 3,215 | +5% | 82 / 320 |
| Wasl Gate | 1,497 | 1,565 | +5% | 46 / 1,516 |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | 1,819 | 1,913 | +5% | 83 / 204 |
| Sobha Hartland | 2,007 | 2,026 | +1% | 622 / 150 |
| Mudon | 1,638 | 1,588 | -3% | 273 / 87 |
| Arabian Ranches 3 | 1,887 | 1,648 | -13% | 161 / 69 |
| TILAL AL GHAF | 2,438 | 2,127 | -13% | 117 / 21 |
| The Valley | 1,442 | 1,241 | -14% | 225 / 181 |
Sales column is completed / off-plan. Source: Dubai Land Department, registered transactions to 17 September 2026. Sales only โ mortgages and gifts excluded.
Where off-plan really is the cheaper option.
5 districts in 2026 where off-plan sold at or below completed homes per square foot. They have something in common: they are outer master-planned communities where the developer is still selling much the same house that turns up on the resale market. That is the one situation where this comparison is close to like-for-like โ and it is also where the original claim holds.
- Sobha Hartland 622 / 150 sales
- +1% 2,007 โ 2,026
- Mudon 273 / 87 sales
- -3% 1,638 โ 1,588
- Arabian Ranches 3 161 / 69 sales
- -13% 1,887 โ 1,648
- TILAL AL GHAF 117 / 21 sales
- -13% 2,438 โ 2,127
- The Valley 225 / 181 sales
- -14% 1,442 โ 1,241
The gaps in this, stated.
- No rental yield. The register records sales, not lettings. Any yield figure on this page would be invented, so there is not one.
- Nothing about a specific home. Floor, view, finish, orientation and service charge move a price far more than a district median can capture.
- No handover risk priced in. A completed home exists. An off-plan one is a contract, an escrow account and a date. What that actually costs in time is measured in what goes wrong with off-plan, and each project file states its own position.
Two questions sit beside this one: how long off-plan takes to arrive and, if you might ever want out, whether you can sell it again. For a specific building, ask us and an advisor will pull its recorded sales by hand โ or ask Ana at the bottom of this page, she reads the same register.
