In 49 of 53 districts, off-plan cost more.
Taking every Dubai district where the Land Department registered at least 20 sales of completed homes and 20 off-plan sales in 2026, off-plan sold at a higher median price per square foot in 49 of 53. The median gap was 31%. 4 districts ran the other way, and they are named below rather than left out.
The same measurement, five years running
Median gap between off-plan and completed, across all qualifying districts.
- 2022 41 districts
- +24%
- 2023 52 districts
- +35%
- 2024 55 districts
- +26%
- 2025 60 districts
- +30%
- 2026 (to date) 53 districts
- +31%
One year would be an anecdote. Five years of the same figure is how the market prices new stock.
A higher price per foot is not proof of a worse deal.
- This is not like-for-like. Off-plan stock is newer, more often branded or serviced, and frequently on the better plots left in a district. Part of the gap is a different product, not a worse price.
- You are not buying the same thing. Off-plan is bought on a payment plan against a building that does not exist yet. That carries a cost and a risk that a completed home does not, and it carries an option a completed home does not either.
- Medians, not matched pairs. We are comparing the middle of one set of sales with the middle of another, in the same district and year. We are not comparing the same apartment in two states, because nobody can.
- What it does settle is the specific claim that off-plan gets you the same thing for less. On the register, in most of Dubai, it does not.
District by district, 2026 to date.
Median AED per square foot on registered sales. Sorted by the gap, widest first. Districts with fewer than 20 sales on either side are left out โ a median built on six sales is noise, and this table will be quoted.
| District | Completed | Off-plan | Gap | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Mer | 3,017 | 7,502 | +149% | 78 / 54 |
| Sufouh Gardens | 1,647 | 4,075 | +147% | 33 / 588 |
| Meydan Racecourse Community | 1,536 | 3,576 | +133% | 126 / 1,606 |
| Palm Jumeirah | 2,805 | 5,873 | +109% | 447 / 239 |
| Dubai Land Residence Complex | 818 | 1,466 | +79% | 339 / 3,903 |
| Majan | 867 | 1,550 | +79% | 594 / 2,776 |
| Motor City | 1,038 | 1,840 | +77% | 388 / 1,396 |
| International City Phase 1 | 677 | 1,152 | +70% | 752 / 302 |
| Discovery Gardens | 987 | 1,671 | +69% | 653 / 100 |
| Al Barari | 1,738 | 2,944 | +69% | 147 / 117 |
| Silicon Oasis | 970 | 1,575 | +62% | 651 / 395 |
| Jumeirah Lakes Towers (JLT) | 1,540 | 2,363 | +53% | 894 / 431 |
| Site A | 2,265 | 3,467 | +53% | 63 / 59 |
| Business Bay | 1,994 | 2,980 | +49% | 1,746 / 1,706 |
| Dubai Sports City | 1,000 | 1,433 | +43% | 630 / 1,106 |
| Liwan1 | 980 | 1,387 | +41% | 305 / 239 |
| International City Phase 3 | 882 | 1,238 | +40% | 264 / 673 |
| International Media Production Zone | 999 | 1,389 | +39% | 427 / 1,499 |
| Dubai Harbour | 3,353 | 4,612 | +38% | 167 / 302 |
| Dubai Marina | 1,996 | 2,737 | +37% | 1,190 / 93 |
| DAMAC HILLS | 1,340 | 1,813 | +35% | 351 / 396 |
| Jumeirah Garden City | 1,711 | 2,311 | +35% | 62 / 1,047 |
| Dubai Investment Park First | 888 | 1,191 | +34% | 115 / 1,360 |
| Living Legends | 939 | 1,244 | +32% | 73 / 187 |
| Dubai South Residential District | 1,119 | 1,466 | +31% | 548 / 1,719 |
| Downtown Dubai | 2,621 | 3,432 | +31% | 972 / 326 |
| The Greens | 1,854 | 2,428 | +31% | 249 / 23 |
| Dubai World Central | 1,304 | 1,697 | +30% | 147 / 7,647 |
| Dubai Science Park | 1,392 | 1,808 | +30% | 105 / 820 |
| Town Square | 1,358 | 1,723 | +27% | 570 / 642 |
| Arjan | 1,357 | 1,718 | +27% | 779 / 1,418 |
| City Walk | 2,674 | 3,354 | +25% | 164 / 396 |
| Mohammed Bin Rashid AL Maktoum District 11 | 1,613 | 1,996 | +24% | 83 / 257 |
| Jumeirah Village Triangle | 1,386 | 1,705 | +23% | 381 / 1,560 |
| Down Town Jabal Ali | 1,402 | 1,714 | +22% | 75 / 1,816 |
| Jumeirah Village Circle | 1,304 | 1,577 | +21% | 2,602 / 3,688 |
| DAMAC HILLS 2 | 1,107 | 1,291 | +17% | 78 / 39 |
| Wasl 1 | 1,927 | 2,251 | +17% | 55 / 104 |
| Dubai Studio City | 1,392 | 1,598 | +15% | 247 / 750 |
| Meydan One Community | 2,042 | 2,295 | +12% | 537 / 303 |
| Dubai Creek Harbour | 2,348 | 2,626 | +12% | 731 / 1,601 |
| Al Furjan | 1,335 | 1,499 | +12% | 615 / 828 |
| WARSAN FIRST DEVELOPMENT | 1,228 | 1,373 | +12% | 37 / 264 |
| Dubai Health Care City Phase 2 | 1,854 | 2,054 | +11% | 244 / 272 |
| Jumeirah Islands | 2,307 | 2,507 | +9% | 44 / 726 |
| Dubai Water Canal | 3,045 | 3,245 | +7% | 78 / 286 |
| Jaddaf Waterfront | 1,800 | 1,913 | +6% | 72 / 185 |
| Wasl Gate | 1,479 | 1,547 | +5% | 45 / 1,320 |
| Dubai Hills Estate | 2,323 | 2,417 | +4% | 498 / 781 |
| Sobha Hartland | 2,010 | 2,005 | 0% | 547 / 139 |
| Mudon | 1,588 | 1,568 | -1% | 187 / 80 |
| Arabian Ranches 3 | 1,887 | 1,668 | -12% | 126 / 64 |
| The Valley | 1,444 | 1,261 | -13% | 191 / 153 |
Sales column is completed / off-plan. Source: Dubai Land Department, registered transactions to 4 August 2026. Sales only โ mortgages and gifts excluded.
Where off-plan really is the cheaper option.
4 districts in 2026 where off-plan sold at or below completed homes per square foot. They have something in common: they are outer master-planned communities where the developer is still selling much the same house that turns up on the resale market. That is the one situation where this comparison is close to like-for-like โ and it is also where the original claim holds.
- Sobha Hartland 547 / 139 sales
- 0% 2,010 โ 2,005
- Mudon 187 / 80 sales
- -1% 1,588 โ 1,568
- Arabian Ranches 3 126 / 64 sales
- -12% 1,887 โ 1,668
- The Valley 191 / 153 sales
- -13% 1,444 โ 1,261
The gaps in this, stated.
- No rental yield. The register records sales, not lettings. Any yield figure on this page would be invented, so there is not one.
- Nothing about a specific home. Floor, view, finish, orientation and service charge move a price far more than a district median can capture.
- No handover risk priced in. A completed home exists. An off-plan one is a contract, an escrow account and a date. What that actually costs in time is measured in what goes wrong with off-plan, and each project file states its own position.
Two questions sit beside this one: how long off-plan takes to arrive and, if you might ever want out, whether you can sell it again. For a specific building, ask us and an advisor will pull its recorded sales by hand โ or ask Ana at the bottom of this page, she reads the same register.
